Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 0-2 Freiburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
52%
Away Win
59%
-7.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+82% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
253 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.0
Crosses 38.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Freiburg (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.78 xG 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
205 Passes 345
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 41
7 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) Carl Zeiss Jena (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
0-2
AWAY Freiburg (K)
0.12 xG 0.94
37% Ball Possession 63%
3 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
198 Passes 398
65% Pass Accuracy 77%
5 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Carl Zeiss Jena (K) vs Freiburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg (K) got the better of Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Freiburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carl Zeiss Jena (K) had 37% of the ball to Freiburg (K)'s 63%, shots finished 3-11, expected goals 0.12 to 0.94.

What was the final score of Carl Zeiss Jena (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 0-2 Freiburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carl Zeiss Jena (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Freiburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 22%, draw 27%, Freiburg (K) 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg (K)) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Freiburg (K)) ✗ BTTS Yes
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