Freiburg (K) 1-1 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 21 Sep 2024

Freiburg (K)
1-1 HT 0-1
Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Freiburg (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.6pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.6pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Freiburg (K) v Carl Zeiss Jena (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Freiburg (K) 1-1 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg (K)
1-1
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
1.33 xG 1.78
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
345 Passes 205
78% Pass Accuracy 64%
41 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Freiburg (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg (K) and Carl Zeiss Jena (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Freiburg (K) at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Freiburg (K) had 59% of the ball to Carl Zeiss Jena (K)'s 41%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.33 to 1.78.

What was the final score of Freiburg (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K)?

Freiburg (K) 1-1 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Freiburg (K) 49%, draw 28%, Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Freiburg (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg (K)) ✓ BTTS Yes
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