Essen-Schönebeck (K) 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.81
No
42%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.6pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K) EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -56% / -56%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -40%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
Crosses 8.0
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.53 xG 1.34
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
221 Passes 294
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 31
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.03.2024 Essen-Schönebeck (K) Essen-Schönebeck (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K)
0-2
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
0.82 xG 2.13
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
155 Passes 255
65% Pass Accuracy 75%
9 Box Touches 14
5 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen (K) saw off Essen-Schönebeck (K) 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Essen-Schönebeck (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Essen-Schönebeck (K) had 43% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen (K)'s 57%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.82 to 2.13.

What was the final score of Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Essen-Schönebeck (K) 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Essen-Schönebeck (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Essen-Schönebeck (K) 42%, draw 23%, Bayer Leverkusen (K) 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Essen-Schönebeck (K)) ✗ BTTS Yes
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