Bahrain SC 2-1 Al Ahli Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.84
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.69
6+ Goals
8%
16.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-2.3pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.8pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahrain SC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 46%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.62/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.41
+52% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahrain SC
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
22.09.2024 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-1 HT 0-1 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC BAH
17.11.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-0 HT 0-0 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC BAHK
14.04.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-1 HT 0-1 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC BAH
21.12.2022 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahrain SC
2-1
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bahrain SC vs Al Ahli Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahrain SC squeezed past Al Ahli Manama 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 34% / 39% — and on the day Bahrain SC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bahrain SC had 41% of the ball to Al Ahli Manama's 59%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bahrain SC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bahrain SC and 0.75 for Al Ahli Manama.

What was the final score of Bahrain SC vs Al Ahli Manama?

Bahrain SC 2-1 Al Ahli Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahrain SC vs Al Ahli Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bahrain SC 27%, draw 34%, Al Ahli Manama 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ahli Manama), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli Manama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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