Al Ahli Manama 0-1 Bahrain SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.92
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.0
6+ Goals
6%
18.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
52%
-11.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+10.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.3pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahrain SC EU Bookmakers 25%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.28/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.82
-25% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Manama
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Bahrain SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
17.11.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-0 HT 0-0 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC BAHK
14.04.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-1 HT 0-1 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC BAH
21.12.2022 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Manama
0-1
AWAY Bahrain SC
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Manama vs Bahrain SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahrain SC squeezed past Al Ahli Manama 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 32% — and on the day Bahrain SC made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ahli Manama had 58% of the ball to Bahrain SC's 42%, shots finished 17-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Ahli Manama and 1.00 for Bahrain SC.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Manama vs Bahrain SC?

Al Ahli Manama 0-1 Bahrain SC in the Bahrain - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Manama vs Bahrain SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Manama 40%, draw 27%, Bahrain SC 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ahli Manama), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli Manama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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