Muharraq 3-0 Al Shabab Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.41
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 30% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-2.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.9pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muharraq EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.69/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.64
-7% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muharraq
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2024 Muharraq Muharraq 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
18.03.2024 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 2-1 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAHK
28.10.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 3-2 HT 2-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
09.04.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-5 HT 0-3 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
25.11.2022 Muharraq Muharraq 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muharraq
3-0
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
66% Ball Possession 34%
9 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Muharraq vs Al Shabab Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq cruised past Al Shabab Manama 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Muharraq as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Muharraq had 66% of the ball to Al Shabab Manama's 34%, shots finished 9-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Muharraq had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Muharraq and 1.20 for Al Shabab Manama.

What was the final score of Muharraq vs Al Shabab Manama?

Muharraq 3-0 Al Shabab Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muharraq vs Al Shabab Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Muharraq 56%, draw 22%, Al Shabab Manama 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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