Muharraq 3-0 Al Shabab Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.6
6+ Goals
8%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 29% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-10.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muharraq EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.37/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.25
-22% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muharraq
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.03.2024 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 2-1 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAHK
28.10.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 3-2 HT 2-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
09.04.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-5 HT 0-3 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
25.11.2022 Muharraq Muharraq 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muharraq
3-0
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Muharraq vs Al Shabab Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq swept aside Al Shabab Manama 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Muharraq as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Muharraq had 55% of the ball to Al Shabab Manama's 45%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Muharraq and 1.50 for Al Shabab Manama.

What was the final score of Muharraq vs Al Shabab Manama?

Muharraq 3-0 Al Shabab Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muharraq vs Al Shabab Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Muharraq 42%, draw 28%, Al Shabab Manama 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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