Al Riffa 2-0 Al Hala Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.43
Draw
30%
4.19
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.88
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 30% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
65%
-19.1pp
30%
Draw
20%
+9.4pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hala Muharraq EU Bookmakers 17%
-8% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.69/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.74
+6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riffa
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Hala Muharraq
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
03.05.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 4-1 HT 2-1 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq BAH
20.12.2022 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
18.02.2022 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
21.11.2021 Al Riffa Al Riffa 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq BAH
24.09.2021 Al Riffa Al Riffa 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq BAHKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riffa
2-0
AWAY Al Hala Muharraq
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Riffa vs Al Hala Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riffa got the better of Al Hala Muharraq 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Riffa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Riffa had 67% of the ball to Al Hala Muharraq's 33%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Riffa had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Riffa and 1.00 for Al Hala Muharraq.

What was the final score of Al Riffa vs Al Hala Muharraq?

Al Riffa 2-0 Al Hala Muharraq in the Bahrain - Premier League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riffa vs Al Hala Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Riffa 46%, draw 30%, Al Hala Muharraq 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Riffa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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