Al Hadd 1-1 East Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.18
2-3 Goals
47%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.69
6+ Goals
7%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 27% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hadd EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY East Riffa EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -6%
1.97/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.01
+43% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hadd
3W-2D-1L
AWAY East Riffa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 East Riffa East Riffa 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAH
24.02.2023 Al Hadd Al Hadd 0-0 HT 0-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
20.12.2022 East Riffa East Riffa 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAH
13.10.2022 East Riffa East Riffa 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAHKK
21.01.2022 East Riffa East Riffa 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAH
16.10.2021 East Riffa East Riffa 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hadd
1-1
AWAY East Riffa
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Hadd vs East Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hadd and East Riffa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Hadd had 60% of the ball to East Riffa's 40%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hadd had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Hadd and 0.67 for East Riffa.

What was the final score of Al Hadd vs East Riffa?

Al Hadd 1-1 East Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hadd vs East Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated an East Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Hadd 34%, draw 28%, East Riffa 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (East Riffa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (East Riffa) ✓ Under 2.5
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