Al Shabab Manama 2-1 Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Cup, 18 Mar 2024

📅18/03/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.3
6+ Goals
11%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 24% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-5.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Muharraq EU Bookmakers 49%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.00
+150% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +37%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Manama
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Muharraq
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 3-2 HT 2-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
09.04.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-5 HT 0-3 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
25.11.2022 Muharraq Muharraq 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Manama
2-1
AWAY Muharraq
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Manama vs Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Manama squeezed past Muharraq 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Al Shabab Manama made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Shabab Manama had 50% of the ball to Muharraq's 50%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Muharraq led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Shabab Manama and 3.00 for Muharraq.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Manama vs Muharraq?

Al Shabab Manama 2-1 Muharraq in the Bahrain - Cup on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Manama vs Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Manama 36%, draw 24%, Muharraq 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Muharraq) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Muharraq) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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