Manama 1-0 Al Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Cup, 18 Mar 2024

📅18/03/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.79
6+ Goals
8%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 30% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-8.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manama EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manama
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Riffa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.02.2024 Manama Manama 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
01.03.2023 Manama Manama 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
26.12.2022 Al Riffa Al Riffa 0-1 HT 0-1 Manama Manama BAH
23.04.2022 Al Riffa Al Riffa 0-0 HT 0-0 Manama Manama BAH
10.01.2022 Manama Manama 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
19.02.2021 Al Riffa Al Riffa 2-1 HT 0-0 Manama Manama BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manama
1-0
AWAY Al Riffa
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manama vs Al Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manama squeezed past Al Riffa 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Manama made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Manama had 43% of the ball to Al Riffa's 57%, shots finished 8-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Riffa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Manama and 1.00 for Al Riffa.

What was the final score of Manama vs Al Riffa?

Manama 1-0 Al Riffa in the Bahrain - Cup on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manama vs Al Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Manama 40%, draw 28%, Al Riffa 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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