Manama 0-5 Khalidiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.78
Over 2.5
37%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.08
2-3 Goals
47%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
3.8
6+ Goals
7%
16.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 31% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
16%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-2.2pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.5pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-4.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manama EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.73/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.12
-33% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -7%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
278 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manama
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Khalidiya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2024 Manama Manama 0-4 HT 0-2 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
30.10.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 0-0 HT 0-0 Manama Manama BAH
27.03.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-2 HT 2-1 Manama Manama BAHK
24.02.2023 Manama Manama 1-0 HT 0-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
24.02.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 0-1 HT 0-0 Manama Manama BAH
23.01.2023 Manama Manama 2-1 HT 1-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manama
0-5
AWAY Khalidiya
29% Ball Possession 71%
4 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manama vs Khalidiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khalidiya ran out comfortable winners over Manama 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Khalidiya as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Manama had 29% of the ball to Khalidiya's 71%, shots finished 4-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manama had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Manama and 1.17 for Khalidiya.

What was the final score of Manama vs Khalidiya?

Manama 0-5 Khalidiya in the Bahrain - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manama vs Khalidiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Manama 25%, draw 34%, Khalidiya 41%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khalidiya), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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