FC Tallinn 0-5 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 5 Mar 2025

FC Tallinn
0-5 HT 0-3
Tallinna Kalev
📅05/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Estonia - Cup – 2024/2025

FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
4.65
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
37%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
18%
+21.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
37%
Away Win
61%
-24.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
24%
+19.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
76%
-19.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.5pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Tallinn v Tallinna Kalev — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tallinn EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 66%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-23% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
5.0 Yellow Cards –

FC Tallinn 0-5 Tallinna Kalev — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tallinn
0-5
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tallinna Kalev ran out comfortable winners over FC Tallinn 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Tallinna Kalev found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Tallinn had 45% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 55%, shots finished 10-15.

What was the final score of FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?

FC Tallinn 0-5 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Cup on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Tallinn 40%, draw 23%, Tallinna Kalev 37%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Tallinn), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ESTK More Estonia - Cup
5 Mar 2025
20:00 Nomme JK Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond Analysis →