Nomme JK Kalju 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
43%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
39%
-9.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
42%
Away Win
34%
+8.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
352 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
01.09.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-4 HT 0-3 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
22.05.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-2 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
08.05.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju ESTK
14.04.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 HT 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
31.10.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-3 HT 3-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
1-0
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju nicked a narrow win over Paide Linnameeskond 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Paide Linnameeskond at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 39% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 61%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 2.00 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Nomme JK Kalju 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Cup on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 29%, draw 28%, Paide Linnameeskond 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Under 2.5
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