Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
46%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.8pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.9pp
46%
Away Win
39%
+6.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.27/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/1.33
-14% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.10.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-3 HT 3-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
03.09.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
27.06.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
06.11.2022 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
03.09.2022 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
29.05.2022 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
2-1
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju nicked a narrow win over Paide Linnameeskond 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Paide Linnameeskond at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 42% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 58%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 1.33 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 32%, draw 22%, Paide Linnameeskond 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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