Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.41
No
40%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
14%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.4pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.0pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
67%
-6.4pp
40%
BTTS No
33%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 HT 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
31.10.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-3 HT 3-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
03.09.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
27.06.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
06.11.2022 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
03.09.2022 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
3-1
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond beat Nomme JK Kalju 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 32%) promised a tight game; Paide Linnameeskond found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 55% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 45%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.00 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Cup on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 36%, draw 33%, Nomme JK Kalju 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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