Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.6pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 34%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +14%
1.27/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.57
-8% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
264 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-4 HT 0-3 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
22.05.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-2 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
08.05.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju ESTK
14.04.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 HT 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
31.10.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-3 HT 3-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
03.09.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
1-1
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond and Nomme JK Kalju couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 60% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 40%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.67 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 40%, draw 26%, Nomme JK Kalju 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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