Nomme JK Kalju 2-4 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.16/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.62
-18% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.05.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-2 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
08.05.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju ESTK
14.04.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 HT 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
31.10.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-3 HT 3-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
03.09.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
27.06.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
2-4
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond beat Nomme JK Kalju 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nomme JK Kalju at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 55% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 45%, shots finished 15-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 1.50 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Nomme JK Kalju 2-4 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 42%, draw 23%, Paide Linnameeskond 35%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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