Tallinna Kalev vs Parnu JK Vaprus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tallinna Kalev v Parnu JK Vaprus — Team-Based Signals
Tallinna Kalev vs Parnu JK Vaprus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Parnu JK Vaprus
EST1
1-1
HT 0-0
Parnu JK Vaprus
EST1
0-2
HT 0-0
Tallinna Kalev
EST1
0-2
HT 0-1
Tallinna Kalev
EST1
Tallinna Kalev 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus — Actual Match Statistics
Tallinna Kalev edged past Parnu JK Vaprus 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Tallinna Kalev found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 41% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 59%, shots finished 6-16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tallinna Kalev had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 0.33 for Parnu JK Vaprus.
What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs Parnu JK Vaprus?
Tallinna Kalev 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs Parnu JK Vaprus?
Before kick-off our model rated an Parnu JK Vaprus win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 30%, draw 30%, Parnu JK Vaprus 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) went the other way.