Parnu JK Vaprus vs Tallinna Kalev Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Parnu JK Vaprus v Tallinna Kalev — Team-Based Signals
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Tallinna Kalev Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Parnu JK Vaprus
EST1
1-1
HT 0-0
Parnu JK Vaprus
EST1
0-2
HT 0-0
Tallinna Kalev
EST1
0-2
HT 0-1
Tallinna Kalev
EST1
1-0
HT 1-0
Parnu JK Vaprus
EST1
Parnu JK Vaprus 0-1 Tallinna Kalev — Actual Match Statistics
Tallinna Kalev edged past Parnu JK Vaprus 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Parnu JK Vaprus at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 54% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 46%, shots finished 18-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tallinna Kalev led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 1.67 for Tallinna Kalev.
What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs Tallinna Kalev?
Parnu JK Vaprus 0-1 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs Tallinna Kalev?
Before kick-off our model rated a Parnu JK Vaprus win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 42%, draw 28%, Tallinna Kalev 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) went the other way.