JK Tammeka Tartu 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 28 Jun 2024

📅28/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
45%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.4pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 53%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.34/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.09
+1% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-2 HT 3-2 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
23.09.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-1 HT 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
13.08.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-1 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
24.05.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 HT 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
16.04.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
08.10.2022 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 3-0 HT 2-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
1-1
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
44% Ball Possession 56%
24 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH JK Tammeka Tartu vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JK Tammeka Tartu and Nomme JK Kalju shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Nomme JK Kalju at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, JK Tammeka Tartu had 44% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 56%, shots finished 24-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for JK Tammeka Tartu and 2.00 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of JK Tammeka Tartu vs Nomme JK Kalju?

JK Tammeka Tartu 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JK Tammeka Tartu vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split JK Tammeka Tartu 30%, draw 26%, Nomme JK Kalju 45%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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