FC Kuressaare 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 28 Jun 2024

📅28/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.4
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
48%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
15%
+8.7pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.1pp
48%
Away Win
64%
-15.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 69%
+14% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.25/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.96
+17% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare ESTK
06.04.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
22.10.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
23.07.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-4 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
07.05.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-4 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
15.03.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
0-2
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond got the better of FC Kuressaare 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 42% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 58%, shots finished 8-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Kuressaare and 2.33 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Paide Linnameeskond?

FC Kuressaare 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 24%, draw 28%, Paide Linnameeskond 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Over 2.5
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