Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 10 Apr 2024

📅10/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.3
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.96
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.68
No
40%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
14%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-15.9pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.5pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.4pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.3pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.2pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 14%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
-43% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
385 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
22.10.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
23.07.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-4 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
07.05.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-4 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
15.03.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
09.10.2022 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 3-3 HT 3-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
2-0
AWAY FC Kuressaare
76% Ball Possession 24%
26 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond got the better of FC Kuressaare 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 76% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 24%, shots finished 26-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.00 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Kuressaare?

Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Cup on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 57%, draw 21%, FC Kuressaare 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ESTK More Estonia - Cup
10 Apr 2024
19:00 Nomme JK Kalju vs Tallinna Kalev Analysis →