Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 10 Apr 2024

📅10/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.97
Over 2.5
40%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.73
No
62%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
3%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
19%
Away Win
22%
-2.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
47%
+13.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
53%
-13.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
54%
-15.8pp
62%
BTTS No
46%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
02.07.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
02.05.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
04.03.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
12.11.2022 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-3 HT 0-2 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
06.08.2022 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 6-0 HT 5-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
2-1
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju nicked a narrow win over Tallinna Kalev 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 51% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 49%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 0.83 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Tallinna Kalev?

Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Cup on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 52%, draw 28%, Tallinna Kalev 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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