Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.25
Draw
24%
5.28
Away
21%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
76%
-20.1pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.8pp
21%
Away Win
8%
+12.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 11%
-11% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
2.72/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.44
+14% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
23.07.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-4 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
07.05.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-4 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
15.03.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
09.10.2022 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 3-3 HT 3-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
14.08.2022 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
3-1
AWAY FC Kuressaare
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond saw off FC Kuressaare 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 63% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 37%, shots finished 17-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 0.83 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Kuressaare?

Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 56%, draw 24%, FC Kuressaare 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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