FC Flora Tallinn 4-3 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.43
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
65%
-3.0pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.5pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.73/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/2.34
-10% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Trans Narva
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva ESTSK
01.11.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
23.07.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-4 HT 0-3 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
03.06.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-2 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva ESTK
23.05.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
14.03.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 5-0 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
4-3
AWAY Trans Narva
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn squeezed past Trans Narva 4-3. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 57% of the ball to Trans Narva's 43%, shots finished 14-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 1.50 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva?

FC Flora Tallinn 4-3 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 62%, draw 18%, Trans Narva 20%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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