Nomme JK Kalju 1-5 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.4
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
50%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
15%
+10.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
50%
Away Win
64%
-13.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 69%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
1.38/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.64
+34% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +51%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Levadia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-3 HT 1-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
09.07.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-0 HT 3-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
28.05.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 2-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
29.04.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
02.10.2022 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
28.08.2022 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-1 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
1-5
AWAY FC Levadia
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia ran out comfortable winners over Nomme JK Kalju 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 40% of the ball to FC Levadia's 60%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 1.83 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Levadia?

Nomme JK Kalju 1-5 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 26%, draw 24%, FC Levadia 50%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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