Nomme United 2-2 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.61
No
56%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.2pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 42%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.68/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.14
-52% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme United
0W-2D-0L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
16.06.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 1-1 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
04.05.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme United
2-2
AWAY FC Kuressaare
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nomme United vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme United and FC Kuressaare shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nomme United had 54% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 46%, shots finished 15-16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nomme United and 1.00 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Nomme United vs FC Kuressaare?

Nomme United 2-2 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme United vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Kuressaare win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nomme United 37%, draw 24%, FC Kuressaare 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Kuressaare) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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