FC Kuressaare 1-1 Nomme United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme United EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.52/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Nomme United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
1-1
AWAY Nomme United
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Nomme United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Kuressaare and Nomme United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was FC Kuressaare at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 59% of the ball to Nomme United's 41%, shots finished 23-7.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Nomme United?

FC Kuressaare 1-1 Nomme United in the Estonia - Premium League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Nomme United?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Kuressaare win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 42%, draw 25%, Nomme United 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Kuressaare), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Kuressaare) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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