Nomme United 1-1 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.2pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme United EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 57%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.99/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.40
-25% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -25%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
226 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme United
1-1
AWAY FC Kuressaare
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nomme United vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme United and FC Kuressaare couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was FC Kuressaare at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Nomme United had 53% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 47%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Nomme United vs FC Kuressaare?

Nomme United 1-1 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme United vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Kuressaare win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nomme United 27%, draw 27%, FC Kuressaare 46%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Kuressaare) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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