Trans Narva 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-9.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.29/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.28
-14% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 3-2 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
08.07.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-4 HT 0-2 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
07.05.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-2 HT 0-2 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
19.04.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-0 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
15.10.2022 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-0 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
30.08.2022 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
0-0
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs Parnu JK Vaprus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trans Narva and Parnu JK Vaprus played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trans Narva had 54% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 46%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parnu JK Vaprus led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Trans Narva and 1.83 for Parnu JK Vaprus.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Trans Narva 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trans Narva win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 37%, draw 29%, Parnu JK Vaprus 35%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trans Narva) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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