Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
69%
-16.6pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.5pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.3pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 16%
-13% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +44%
2.61/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.20
+10% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
434 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-1 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
12.08.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
24.05.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
15.04.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 HT 0-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
15.10.2022 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-2 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
20.08.2022 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-7 HT 0-5 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
2-0
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond got the better of Tallinna Kalev 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 55% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 45%, shots finished 20-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tallinna Kalev led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.50 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev?

Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 52%, draw 26%, Tallinna Kalev 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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