Paide Linnameeskond 0-2 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.55/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.99
+8% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju ESTK
14.04.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 HT 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
31.10.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-3 HT 3-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
03.09.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
27.06.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
06.11.2022 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
0-2
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju got the better of Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Paide Linnameeskond at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 55% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 45%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.00 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Paide Linnameeskond 0-2 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 41%, draw 27%, Nomme JK Kalju 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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