FC Levadia 2-2 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.74
Over 2.5
55%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-15.6pp
19%
Draw
11%
+7.2pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
33%
+12.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
67%
-12.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.8pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +36%
2.67/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.26
+7% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +9%
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
503 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
16.03.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
07.10.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
26.08.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-1 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
11.06.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
09.04.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
2-2
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
70% Ball Possession 30%
33 Total Shots 5
13 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia and Tallinna Kalev couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. FC Levadia carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, FC Levadia had 70% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 30%, shots finished 33-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Levadia and 0.67 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs Tallinna Kalev?

FC Levadia 2-2 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 66%, draw 19%, Tallinna Kalev 15%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Levadia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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