Tallinna Kalev 1-2 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
16.01
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
63%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.98
Over 2.5
53%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
42%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
3%
+13.9pp
20%
Draw
12%
+8.1pp
63%
Away Win
84%
-21.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
30%
+17.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
70%
-17.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 90%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -19%
0.54/2.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.33/0.64
-23% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +7%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 521 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
0W-1D-5L
AWAY FC Levadia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
07.10.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
26.08.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-1 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
11.06.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
09.04.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
11.09.2022 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
1-2
AWAY FC Levadia
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 29
3 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia squeezed past Tallinna Kalev 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 35% of the ball to FC Levadia's 65%, shots finished 7-29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 2.00 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs FC Levadia?

Tallinna Kalev 1-2 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 17%, draw 20%, FC Levadia 63%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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