Tallinna Kalev 0-2 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
7.95
Draw
25%
5.15
Away
52%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
10%
+13.7pp
25%
Draw
16%
+8.6pp
52%
Away Win
74%
-22.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 79%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -18%
0.65/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/0.71
-14% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +5%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
179 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
0W-1D-5L
AWAY FC Levadia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
26.08.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-1 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
11.06.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
09.04.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
11.09.2022 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
01.07.2022 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-1 HT 2-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
0-2
AWAY FC Levadia
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia got the better of Tallinna Kalev 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 39% of the ball to FC Levadia's 61%, shots finished 5-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 2.17 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs FC Levadia?

Tallinna Kalev 0-2 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 23%, draw 25%, FC Levadia 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ Over 2.5
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