Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.7pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.9pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 30%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.43/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.55/1.72
+4% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +138% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
07.07.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
07.06.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
29.04.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
26.02.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-3 HT 2-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTSK
30.10.2022 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
2-1
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 13
13 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond nicked a narrow win over FC Flora Tallinn 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 60% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 40%, shots finished 19-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.33 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 43%, draw 32%, FC Flora Tallinn 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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