Mes Soongoun 1-0 Sanat Naft — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.29
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
34%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.41
Over 2.5
35%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.33
No
67%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
49%
1.88
2-3 Goals
32%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
6.32
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.88 — our 49% vs market 43.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
19%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+8.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
42%
-8.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
67%
-1.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
33%
+1.7pp
33%
BTTS Yes
39%
-6.1pp
67%
BTTS No
61%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Soongoun EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanat Naft EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
0.91/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.02
+7% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Soongoun
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sanat Naft
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.10.2024 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 2-2 HT 2-1 Mes Soongoun Mes Soongoun IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Mes Soongoun vs Sanat Naft
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Soongoun squeezed past Sanat Naft 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Mes Soongoun found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (67%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Mes Soongoun vs Sanat Naft?

Mes Soongoun 1-0 Sanat Naft in the Iran - Azadegan League on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Soongoun vs Sanat Naft?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mes Soongoun win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mes Soongoun 36%, draw 30%, Sanat Naft 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mes Soongoun), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mes Soongoun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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