Kariobangi Sharks 1-3 Gor Mahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-6.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 53%
+66% / +66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.36
+150% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +146%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Gor Mahia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.12.2024 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 1-0 HT 1-0 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN
27.10.2021 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 0-2 HT 0-1 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
1-3
AWAY Gor Mahia
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kariobangi Sharks vs Gor Mahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gor Mahia beat Kariobangi Sharks 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gor Mahia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kariobangi Sharks had 47% of the ball to Gor Mahia's 53%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gor Mahia led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Kariobangi Sharks and 1.50 for Gor Mahia.

What was the final score of Kariobangi Sharks vs Gor Mahia?

Kariobangi Sharks 1-3 Gor Mahia in the Kenya - Premier League on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kariobangi Sharks vs Gor Mahia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kariobangi Sharks 27%, draw 31%, Gor Mahia 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gor Mahia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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