Gor Mahia 1-0 Kariobangi Sharks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 22 Dec 2024

Gor Mahia
1-0 HT 1-0
Kariobangi Sharks
📅22/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2024/2025

Gor Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.5pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gor Mahia v Kariobangi Sharks — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.69/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.28
+40% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards –

Gor Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gor Mahia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.10.2021 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 0-2 HT 0-1 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN2
POST-MATCH Gor Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gor Mahia squeezed past Kariobangi Sharks 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gor Mahia as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Gor Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Gor Mahia 1-0 Kariobangi Sharks in the Kenya - Premier League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gor Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gor Mahia 46%, draw 28%, Kariobangi Sharks 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gor Mahia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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