Ulinzi Stars 2-1 Nairobi City Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
28%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
15%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.6pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.0pp
28%
Away Win
36%
-7.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
70%
-5.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
30%
+5.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.1pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Nairobi City Stars EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.38/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.37
-61% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -33%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulinzi Stars
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Nairobi City Stars
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2022 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars 0-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN
POST-MATCH Ulinzi Stars vs Nairobi City Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulinzi Stars edged past Nairobi City Stars 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Ulinzi Stars found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ulinzi Stars vs Nairobi City Stars?

Ulinzi Stars 2-1 Nairobi City Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulinzi Stars vs Nairobi City Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulinzi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ulinzi Stars 39%, draw 33%, Nairobi City Stars 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulinzi Stars) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulinzi Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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