Llaneros 1-0 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.2pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llaneros EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -19%
1.08/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.31
-23% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
16.0 Crosses 14.6
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llaneros
0W-1D-0L
AWAY La Equidad
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
10 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
06.07.2014 La Equidad La Equidad 2-2 HT 1-0 Llaneros Llaneros KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Llaneros
1-0
AWAY La Equidad
0.64 xG 1.08
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
367 Passes 283
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
7 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Llaneros vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llaneros squeezed past La Equidad 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Llaneros as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Llaneros had 55% of the ball to La Equidad's 45%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.64 to 1.08 — the balance of chances actually favoured La Equidad.

What was the final score of Llaneros vs La Equidad?

Llaneros 1-0 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llaneros vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llaneros win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Llaneros 43%, draw 28%, La Equidad 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llaneros), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Llaneros) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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