Fortaleza CEIF vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortaleza CEIF v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza CEIF vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
4-3
HT 2-0
Fortaleza CEIF
KOL
Fortaleza CEIF 1-5 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional ran out comfortable winners over Fortaleza CEIF 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 42% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 58%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.42 to 1.92.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 2.00 for Atletico Nacional.
What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Atletico Nacional?
Fortaleza CEIF 1-5 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Atletico Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 29%, draw 30%, Atletico Nacional 41%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.