Atletico Nacional 1-2 Fortaleza CEIF — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Colombia - Primera, 6 Apr 2024

Atletico Nacional DLWWW→
1 - 2 HT 1 - 2
Fortaleza CEIF LLDWL→
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
16%
4.76
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
59%
1.65
Over
41%
2.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.17
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
48%
4-5
16%
6+
3%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
2%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Atletico Nacional v Fortaleza CEIF — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Atletico Nacional The Market 58%
Signal
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF The Market 21%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.74 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.83
0.77 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.48
Strong Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Weak
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3

Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
455 Passes 247
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
The Meetings
14.04.2014 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 4-3 HT 2-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL

Atletico Nacional 1-2 Fortaleza CEIF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Nacional
1 - 2
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
1.29 xG 0.64
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
352 Passes 202
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
28 Box Touches 12
30 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 7
REVIEW Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Fortaleza CEIF found just enough to beat Atletico Nacional 2-1 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Atletico Nacional carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Atletico Nacional had 60% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 40%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.29 to 0.64 — by the quality of chances, Atletico Nacional deserved more.

Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF Result & Final Score

Atletico Nacional 1 - 2 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 57%, draw 27%, Fortaleza CEIF 16%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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