Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Once Caldas v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Once Caldas
KOL
1-1
HT 1-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Once Caldas
KOL
2-2
HT 0-2
Deportes Tolima
KOL
0-2
HT 0-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
1-1
HT 0-0
Once Caldas
KOL
Once Caldas 2-1 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Once Caldas squeezed past Deportes Tolima 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Deportes Tolima at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Once Caldas had 31% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 69%, shots finished 11-16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Once Caldas and 1.67 for Deportes Tolima.
What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima?
Once Caldas 2-1 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima?
Before kick-off our model rated an Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 32%, draw 27%, Deportes Tolima 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.