Envigado 1-1 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.02/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.19
+28% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
13.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
11.7 Crosses 13.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Envigado
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.90 xG 1.56
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
254 Passes 322
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2023 Envigado Envigado 2-3 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
28.04.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
12.10.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-2 HT 0-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
24.04.2022 Envigado Envigado 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
11.08.2021 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-1 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
11.04.2021 Envigado Envigado 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Envigado
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.88 xG 1.42
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
234 Passes 257
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Envigado and Deportivo Pereira shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Envigado had 49% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 51%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.88 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Envigado had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Envigado and 0.83 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Deportivo Pereira?

Envigado 1-1 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Pereira win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Envigado 33%, draw 29%, Deportivo Pereira 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) ✓ Under 2.5
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