Atalanta U20 2-1 Cesena U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 5 Mar 2026

📅05/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.86
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
50%
+5.7pp
19%
Draw
25%
-6.8pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta U20 EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena U20 EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.08/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.90
+25% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta U20
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Cesena U20
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2025 Cesena U20 Cesena U20 3-3 HT 1-1 Atalanta U20 Atalanta U20 İTAPŞ1
31.01.2025 Cesena U20 Cesena U20 5-3 HT 2-2 Atalanta U20 Atalanta U20 İTAPŞ1
20.10.2024 Atalanta U20 Atalanta U20 1-1 HT 0-1 Cesena U20 Cesena U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Atalanta U20 vs Cesena U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta U20 squeezed past Cesena U20 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atalanta U20 as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cesena U20 led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Atalanta U20 and 3.00 for Cesena U20.

What was the final score of Atalanta U20 vs Cesena U20?

Atalanta U20 2-1 Cesena U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 05/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta U20 vs Cesena U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Atalanta U20 56%, draw 19%, Cesena U20 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta U20), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTAPŞ1 More Italy - Primavera Championship
5 Mar 2026
16:00 Milan U20 vs Cremonese U20 Analysis →