Cesena U20 5-3 Atalanta U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
33%
+3.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena U20 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta U20 EU Bookmakers 46%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.74/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.65
+18% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
209 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena U20
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Atalanta U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Atalanta U20 Atalanta U20 1-1 HT 0-1 Cesena U20 Cesena U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena U20
5-3
AWAY Atalanta U20
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 21
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cesena U20 vs Atalanta U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena U20 saw off Atalanta U20 5-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Cesena U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cesena U20 had 45% of the ball to Atalanta U20's 55%, shots finished 20-21.

What was the final score of Cesena U20 vs Atalanta U20?

Cesena U20 5-3 Atalanta U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena U20 vs Atalanta U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cesena U20 37%, draw 23%, Atalanta U20 40%. The final score 5-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta U20) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTAPŞ1 More Italy - Primavera Championship
31 Jan 2025
17:00 Monza U20 vs Juventus U20 Analysis →
17:00 Genoa U20 vs Cremonese U20 Analysis →