Genoa U20 1-1 Cremonese U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+1.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa U20 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cremonese U20 EU Bookmakers 28%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.75/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.99
-64% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genoa U20
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Cremonese U20
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.12.2024 Genoa U20 Genoa U20 2-1 Cremonese U20 Cremonese U20 İTAKPR
15.09.2024 Cremonese U20 Cremonese U20 3-3 HT 0-1 Genoa U20 Genoa U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa U20
1-1
AWAY Cremonese U20
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Genoa U20 vs Cremonese U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa U20 and Cremonese U20 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Genoa U20 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Genoa U20 had 61% of the ball to Cremonese U20's 39%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Genoa U20 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Genoa U20 and 2.00 for Cremonese U20.

What was the final score of Genoa U20 vs Cremonese U20?

Genoa U20 1-1 Cremonese U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa U20 vs Cremonese U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Genoa U20 54%, draw 22%, Cremonese U20 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Genoa U20) ✗ Over 2.5
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