Aluminij 2-1 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 5 Mar 2026

Aluminij
2-1 HT 0-1
Celje
📅05/03/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Aluminij vs Celje Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.04
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
58%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.89
Over
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.45
No
40%
2.56
Total Goals
0-1
21%
6.05
2-3
42%
2.05
4-5
25%
2.39
6+
12%
4.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Aluminij v Celje — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminij The Market 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje The Market 62%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.03/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/1.21
-7% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -24%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
283 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Aluminij vs Celje Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminij
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Celje
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.11.2025 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
17.08.2025 Aluminij Aluminij 2-3 HT 2-0 Celje Celje SLVN
30.03.2024 Celje Celje 2-2 HT 1-2 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
09.12.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 1-3 HT 0-2 Celje Celje SLVN
27.09.2023 Celje Celje 1-3 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
23.07.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 2-2 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN

Aluminij 2-1 Celje — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aluminij
2-1
AWAY Celje
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Aluminij vs Celje
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Aluminij edged past Celje 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Celje at 58% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Celje saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 10-7.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Aluminij against 2.17 for Celje.

Aluminij vs Celje Result & Final Score

Aluminij 2-1 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 05/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Aluminij vs Celje Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 21%, draw 21%, Celje 58%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celje) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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